Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,246$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(480 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(36.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,197.2}{1 + 10^{-0.058 (t - 37.5)}}\) (asimptote \(2,197.2\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $103$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(16.4 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(24.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{103.2}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 36.0)}}\) (asimptote \(103.2\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $71$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $37,542$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(2.81 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{39,460.7}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 60.5)}}\) (asimptote \(39,460.7\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $4,395$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(458 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(22.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,338.9}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 44.5)}}\) (asimptote \(4,338.9\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $28,176$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,440$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(2.32 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(42.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,125.8}{1 + 10^{-0.051 (t - 31.6)}}\) (asimptote \(8,125.8\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $236$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(58.7 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(33.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{230.6}{1 + 10^{-0.060 (t - 29.1)}}\) (asimptote \(230.6\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $477$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,859$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(913 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(28.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,834.9}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 47.7)}}\) (asimptote \(6,834.9\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $320$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(48.2 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{313.9}{1 + 10^{-0.054 (t - 35.0)}}\) (asimptote \(313.9\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,039$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $11,869$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(2.15 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(32.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,627.9}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 40.5)}}\) (asimptote \(11,627.9\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $574$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(124 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(31.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{561.2}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 32.0)}}\) (asimptote \(561.2\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $735$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,806$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(584 \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(46.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,802.6}{1 + 10^{-0.077 (t - 29.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,802.6\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(3.8 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(45.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.071 (t - 22.5)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $58,381$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(9.71 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{56,442.3}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 40.9)}}\) (asimptote \(56,442.3\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,467$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(1.55 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,151.9}{1 + 10^{-0.058 (t - 37.3)}}\) (asimptote \(9,151.9\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $33,027$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $276,156$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(2.64 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(24.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{277,122.0}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 51.3)}}\) (asimptote \(277,122.0\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $38,571$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(4.93 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{37,259.9}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 42.2)}}\) (asimptote \(37,259.9\))
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $236,395$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $232,997$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(4.55 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(37.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{226,667.3}{1 + 10^{-0.041 (t - 42.1)}}\) (asimptote \(226,667.3\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $33,415$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(5.66 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(33.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{32,347.9}{1 + 10^{-0.041 (t - 44.1)}}\) (asimptote \(32,347.9\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $42,075$ on 2020-05-31
